Tuesday, January 02, 2018

Global warming

Waterfall at the Great Hunger Memorial Park, formerly Woodlands Lake at the V.E. Macy Park in Ardsley NY.

60 comments:

  1. If you get a shot of a polar bear over at Tibbetts Brook Park, send it in to NOAA!

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  2. Got up to 44 deg here today, and I see the Arctic is 3 degC higher this week. The cold on the east
    coast? “ Some research suggests that a warming Arctic is producing a weaker, less stable jet stream that allows frigid Arctic air to dip south,” Once again, Yonkers is an anomoly....should warm up in
    a few days, Z-Man and the Yetis will return to the Catskills.

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    1. Couple things. It's within recent memory in fact that Al Gore & Co. were predicting warmer winters and snow being a distant memory. Hasn't happened so they're going with the theory you just described which I just happened upon the other day. When the evidence doesn't go your way do you modify your theory (in this case global warming) or do you somehow contort what's happening today (colder winters/blizzards) into your theory? That there has a contradiction - "a warming Arctic is producing..." and "allows frigid Arctic air to..." Then again maybe it's me:)

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  3. I would sort of compare it to the stock market. If you look at that over the years, it zigs and zags,
    has highs and lows, but over the long term it has gone up from 85 to 22,000 over a hundred plus years .
    Hot one day/year, cold some other day/year but a long rise.
    Climate scientists also look at the long term and it
    has been tending to rise. They sum hundreds of reporting stations all over the globe for the average
    temperature; might be freezing in Yonkers but burning hot in Rio and everyplace in between, but it
    has been going up. But I promise not to mention it in a few years when Yonkers hits 115 for a couple of days. Our POV on global warming is pushed by special interests- oil, gas, coal and other polluters
    push the denial claims, most scientists push their interpretation of the data. Consider that many industries take it into consideration in their planning now, switching to green when possible. The
    State Dept and military have entire planning sections pondering the future impact on crops, population movement etc. and the railroads are funding contigency funds for storm damage and rail warping from
    rising heat. Not trying to convince you of anything, just explaining the problem (or not if there is no
    problem) Some people, my sister for example, don't believe in atoms: she told the college prof that if
    you can't see them, they don't exist. If a tree falls in the woods.....?

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    1. The seasons still tend to be seasons. Hot in summer cold in winter and that hasn't changed much. I must not be looking at the bigger picture.

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    2. ow's the new car handling the snow and cold?

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    3. The Honda HR-V drives better in the snow than the Civic imo. Parking on the street's a bitch because apartment dwellers have a thing against shoveling. Heating takes somewhat long on really cold mornings. The HR-V has a temperature sensor that tells you the outside temp like the other day it was only 18 at 3 in the afternoon. New weather word - "bomb cyclone." WTH

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    4. Those outside temperature displays are interesting. One time we left Laramie, Wy at 30 degrees and
      after 20 miles it had dropped down to -5. Without the temp display we wouldn't have noticed driving
      into a well defined cold front. I'm old enough to remember when most cars wouldn't start after a night
      of 10 above (and VW buses before 1970 had heaters in name only)

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    5. Yes the outside temperature sensor it's like having a weatherperson in your car. On my drive to work early this morning I got readings from 4 degrees to a minus one! & that wasn't a wind chill. Egads!

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    6. I would think that sort of weather would cut your business?

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    7. On the other hand the cabin fever sometimes leads them out.

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    8. True. Back in the 60s I bought a used 67 Toyota Landcruiser (looked like a top heavy 6 cyl jeep),
      painted it green and spent the Fall touring woods and swamps on the MN/WI border. Just couldn't wait for the first Mpls blizzard. When it came, it was perfect: 50 mph winds, 2 ft snow with 6 ft drifts and
      10 above. No traffic, freeways closed and the 4wd and me blasted through drifts looking for someplace to get a bit. Everything closed except a Dairy Queen. The girl in the shop was stuck, so she had kept it open. My vanilla cone never melted as I ate it on the way back. BTW that landcruiser was the only vehicle I sold for more than it cost. Looks like you guys should be warming up shortly

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    9. Yes. The official tally here in the New York area is 13 straight days below freezing. 'Nuf.

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  4. I'm guessing the 'ice bomb' back there was caused by some of the normal warmer Yonkers winter being
    blown off to Australia-
    “Extraordinarily hot weather has persisted in parts of Australia into 2018. Australia's largest city, Sydney, on Sunday experienced its hottest day since 1939, peaking at 47.3°C at Penrith in the western suburbs.”
    -That's 117.2 in Fahrenheit, quite uncomfortable in a big metro area like Sydney, and for the second year in a row, there was extensive bleaching and dying of the coral along the Great Barrier Reef. Still. Yonkers is better off than California: ya take yer pick; wildfires, floods, mudlsides, draught, earthquakes..sort of like God's weather laboratory.

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    1. So what you're saying is you might have a clean colon but in a few years time it's not going to matter.

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    2. There is always something lurking out there. Had a 30 yr old nephew. Got a stomach ache . Got
      worse. His wife is a nurse and drove him to the hospital, thinking appendix. 12 tranfusions later,
      they patched him up: splenetic aneurism, main blood vessel to the spleen had ruptured. Yanked the
      spleen and sewed up the vessel. Two days later he is back on the job. What the heck ever happened to
      Pepto Bismol?

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    3. Getting over a mild case of Bell's Palsy right now. Had a severe case as a kid. Right now my left eyelid won't go all the way back up and the eye gets teary and dry. Probably brought on by the last two weeks of extreme cold.

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    4. Sorry to hear that. Worked with the head of the engineering department who came down with Bells Palsy for quite a stretch. Presumably you have researched the fairly common relation between that
      and tinnitus (if not, search Bells Palsy and tinnitus) and various discussion groups. Recurrence is supposedly rare and a couple other conditions that mimic Bells are Ramsey-Hunt and Shingles. Hopefully it doesn't require another colonscopy.

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    5. Yes the Bell's Palsy/tinnitus connection. When I had it as a kid one side of my face would droop so the doctor induced a fever and said I had to eat an orange everyday. Said it was brought on by the winter cold. Throw in our old friend Lyme can do some of these things.

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  5. Lyme's is getting as common as the flu anymore. We had ticks aplenty when I was growing up in
    the WI northwoods, but no Lymes at all. The latest studies show that the ticks that carry the parasite
    thrive in small woodlots like parks and hobby farms, hence so many urbanites get it. Can't imagine
    why they haven't come up with a vaccine..or at least a morning after pill.

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  6. Any incoming missile alerts in Yonkers lately?

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    1. Gosh I heard that guy was reassigned. Lucky to have a job.

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  7. On a recent doctor's trip learned about salivary gland stones. Nobody's ever heard of it either. Thoughts?

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    1. First thought is with that gravel, the patient could sneeze and be a human sandblaster.
      Reminds of another rare
      sneeze phenomenon. What's next, tear duct stones?

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    2. Mom always taught us never ever stifle a sneeze. Dad got a hernia that way.

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  8. I never stiffle a sneeze, but sometimes it scares the hell out of the cat.

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  9. Ever notice when you go to the doctor and there's a crowded waiting room nobody looks sick? There should be at least one person who looks like hell.

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  10. Our clinic offers a 'walk in' section. A couple of doctors and some nurses, open long hours, no appointment necessary. There are often a few waiting there that look to be sickly. I use it sometimes
    when I need something and can't wait for an appointment three weeks out. Lot of elderly in this town.
    “I need to see the doctor right away. My cat is in the car.” Ever notice that animal vets in general
    have far better bedside manner?

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  11. Yes. Maybe we should go to the vet instead. Lol

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  12. Having math problems at my advanced age. They want $30 billion to build a wall (a really yuuuuge wall). Last year 170,000 people sneaked across the border. I divide and find it costs $176,470.58 per
    border hopper. Seems a little high, no?

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  13. Ya gotta ask yourself with all that's going on in the world and country right now why is this important to Trump? I'm old school but if the food is good I could see the chef getting some of that.

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    1. The tip vs wage thing is complicated: apparently most restaurants run on slim margins and cannot
      compete if they need to pay full minimum wage. So servers are required to make up the difference in tips. As a customer, I find it awkward. I can afford it and am a high tipper. Some customers tip zero,
      some under tip etc. Some servers IMO deserve higher tips, some not- so I have no idea which go home with the higher hourly pay. The kitchen is said to pay higher to begin with and supposedly those
      are considered non-tipped. In Idaho, the minimum wage is $9.35 for non-tipped and $3.35 for non tipped (the math suggests the server gets 29% of the minimum wage chef) so they are really dependent on tipping. Which is a messy system to begin with.
      The Trump law would pool all tips and be controlled by the employer, who may distribute them equally, non-equally, or use the fund to buy new seats or a sign..or just pocket as profit. How is that for a range from pooled (pure communism) to keeping for profit (pure captialism)? My son, who worked
      as a coffee barrista, pizza delivery and Miami bar back at various times, liked the tip system. Kind of
      a nebulous tax dodge and those lucky weeks, I guess. Last week I talked to a young black girl, a species very rare here, who was too young to bring a beer by Idaho law. She has a BMW, used I'm guessing, but not bad for a college frosh. One of my favorite 5 AM waitresses works graveyard: 11AM to 6:30 AM. Those are slow tip hours: only customers are taxi drivers, drunks, shift workers
      and partying kids. Rough cheap crowd. And not many, so she also does the janitor work and pie baking. Seems worth more than $3.35 an hour IMO.
      Then you have those rare but memorable instances of some old rich guy leaving a young waitress thousands for a college education. That would be illegal presumably under the new proposal. There are so many pros and cons, I'm neutered on this one, Z-Man, but I think it is a handout to small
      businesses: then again, the Trump system is to de-regulated everything, but here they are regulating
      and the littlest get the shaft.

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  14. Whatcha going to spend your $1000 bonus on?

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    1. Interesting you brought that up. I was recently at the ENT office about an issue and got around to talking about audiology and hearing. What brought that up was tinnitus. Anyway we were talking about hearing aids and we're talking very advanced tech worlds apart from back in the day. Price range anywhere from $2,500-$6,000 with about $3,500 being about average but here's the kicker. Seems most insurance doesn't cover hearing aids so then most patients pay out-of-pocket. There's a deposit, installment plans for poorer folk and all that. WHY is everything a racket?

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    2. Keeps all the healthcare people fully employed?

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  15. If you are getting fed up with toll bridges, consider this for your next car .

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  16. Today Elon Musk's SpaceX huge rocket will launch an Elon Musk cherry red Tesla convertible into space. Eat your heart out, John Glenn. The car will be placed in an astroid-like eliptical orbit around the sun with aphelion out beyond Mars. Will the classy car attract aliens from Alpha-Century, or just be more space junk?

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    1. One might ask what is the point?

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    2. Undoubtably a marketing gimmick for Musk's SpaceX and Tesla automobiles. The WWII V-2 rocket
      ran on alcohol/liquid oxygen with a chamber pressure of 220 psi/specific impulse 239 lb-sec. Oddly,
      the SpaceX more isn't much different: refined kerosen/liquid oxygen, but with a chamber pressure of
      1440 psi/specific impulse of 310 lb-sec. So with more modern materials, they squeeze considerably
      more power by ramping the consumption rate. Better, even less powerful than the liquid hydrogen fuels of the the Saturn series, kerosene/alcohol are safer, explosion-wise. SpaceX is looking at the
      more powerful methane fuel as I write. As a kid nerd, I experimented with the alcohol/red fuming
      nitric acid fuel. It is hypergolic, eg ignites spontaneously. For some reason, mine did not. I sat a
      soup can of alcohol in the concrete drive way and drizzled the fuming nitric acid into it. It just boiled,
      ate up the can and left a hocky puck sized hole 2 inches deep in the driveway. Never launced a Tesla,
      but sent a lady bug in a capsule up to 2000 feet. The astronaut bug survived but walked in circles for
      awhile. Better things for better living through chemistry.

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  17. Replies
    1. The Blaze sounded familiar. I haven't been following Glenn Beck of late so for some reason I thought The Blaze was a gay thing. Dunno.

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    2. Glenn Beck was a hot star for quite awhile. I'm thinking he either got bored, or his fight with the
      Donald drove his followers into the Trump wagon?

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  18. How many miles on the new car?

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    1. Little over 3,600. Trying not to go too far but getting the itch. Been busy of late. Had four stray cats fixed. Cat had kittens in the yard next door and when the winter got extremely cold took in the three more like cats now. One male and two females then a big tabby male came 'round and tried to hump one of 'em and got him fixed too. Other than that......

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    2. You got one of those places that spay ferals at low or no cost? We got a couple hunting around that
      are extremely skittish that the whole neighborhood has been trying to catch and fix.

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    3. We have those programs with the certificates but I paid full cost. Some strays or ferals are approachable and like the human contact but had one come around in the past that was a true feral and you just leave alone. This one the troublemaker went in the cat carrier on his own so I latched the door. Ge then sprayed so I had to put a towel on the back seat of my new car en route to the vet. My sister helped. Oh the aroma but he turned out to be a fine pet.

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  19. RE: Tinnitus
    It may be that you are experiencing the Yonkers Hum , which seems
    to exist in other places.

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    1. Most doctors don't think outside the box. Having discussed my tinnitus with an ENT and audiologist recently I get the sense almost nobody in the medical profession thinks it can be an actual noise at least in a minority of cases and yet the Hum most closely resembles my symptoms and I told my PCP this. It's like some kind of fringe topic for them.

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  20. There's a heck of a lot of frustrated patients out there looking for causes and cures. A year back my wife woke up one morning feeling odd and lacking energy. She has had blood tests, just about every
    flavor of cardiogram (echo, Hoffman harness, radiology, stress), chest xrays two heart doctors, five
    clinical physicians numerous nurse practioners and a whole spectrum of heart meds. My professor daughter and I kind of think an original mini stroke may have provoked an andrenal insufficiency
    (which was laughed at early on by the medpros) and finally next week, a miserable year later, they
    are sending her in for an MRI of the brain/brainstem/pituitary/hypothalmus system. The nervous
    system/endocrine systems is hugely complex and they have avoided it so far other than to rule out
    immune problems like Lupus/MS. I suppose if the MRI is normal we will be looking at witch doctors, faith healing and acupuncture?

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    1. Every single doctor I have ever encountered all say drink plenty of water. "I have cancer." "Drink more water."

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  21. There are dozens of places where I cannot smoke my pipe; courthouses, churches, parks, stores,
    restaurants, universities, concerts etc. But all are allowed to carry concealed firearms. Am I missing
    something?

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    1. Thought of doing a blogpost on the Parkland massacre but it's just the latest chapter in the new normal. Trump wants certain select teachers to be armed not that anything can go wrong and the thing might go off shooting a kid in the nut.

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    2. Yeah, lots of posts on that: the usual pro and con. Indeed it is the new normal. When I was a kid
      (Truman was pres) the only violent thing that ever happened in school was when Bobby M. was feeling ill and they took him to the teachers lounge. He was rinsing his face with cold water when his
      glass eye fell out and Ms. Kitzman fainted.

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  22. We note the unusual heat wave at the north pole and Arctic. Presumably, the Inuits are at the beach. Be one the lookout
    for Polar Bears luring near Yonkers.

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  23. I've noticed it too and I'm not complaining. I suppose though if I were Al Gore I'd prefer the days of frozen snot.

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  24. Random Ponderings-
    If the cavemen would have had twitter and facebook, we'd still be in caves?
    The bible says Solomon had 700 wives and 300 concubines: how did he escape sexual
    harassment charges and be marketed as wise?
    How come Pee Wee Herman wasn't cast in 'Titanic'?
    If Christopher Columbus had flown commercial, America would have been discovered sooner?
    How come Scientology ends in -ology- instead of -phony-?
    Why did the early Dutch give up on New York City?
    Does Wayne LaPierre know how to load a revolver?
    Were Gregory Peck and Cary Grant brothers?
    Was the actor in 'Dancing With Wolves' ever on 'Dancing With The Stars?
    How come the only peaceful parts of the world are where it snows all the time?
    If he hated women, why did Henry VIII have six wives?
    If a photon is a particle of light, does an anti-proton glow darkly?
    How come my Ancestry.com report said 56% Neanderthal?
    Did Hawking ever win a wheelchair race?
    Can a trout really know the difference between a Royal Coachman and a Wooly Bugger?
    Are Sasquatches religious?
    Was Wrong Way Corrigan a descendant of Elthered the Unready?

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    1. You wanna know why Switzerland never gets attacked? It's where all the money is.

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